IT CAN'T BE DENIED – AT 11:48 A.M. ET:  We have a problem on our side.  There has been a sudden, unexplained drop in support for a Republican Congress and for the president in the last two weeks.  The polls are aligning.  The generic ballot shows Dems ahead by an average of 11 points.  It was much less at the start of August.

And the president is clearly losing support.  Today's Rasmussen tracker has him at 44%.  He had reached 50% in Rasmussen only a few weeks ago.  Other polls have him as low as 38%.

What is the reason?

I don't know.  No one does.  But we are not starting this fall campaign in a good position.  Clearly, that can change.  We have had the McCain funeral, with all the Trump bashing.  We've had advance word on the Woodward book, and we've had the emergence of young, attractive, but hard-left "progressive" candidates.  Maybe these things aligned.

Or maybe people are tiring of the president's personal antics.

Or maybe the polls will reverse soon, as the GOP gets going. 

The clear need is for our side to fight hard, get the voters out, and make the argument.  We'll follow the polls to see if there's improvement, but don't be shocked if we go down before we go up. 

September 5,  2018